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I mean, the turnaround days so far, assuming 4 Nov and 31 Dec for the next two: 240, 160, 83, 57. It’s pretty reasonable to not ramp up enough to squeeze in a 5th launch this year.
Next year has 10 launches on Wikipedia (only counting 1x Kuiper), so they’ll be busy. The Ariane record was 12 a few times around 2000, but I bet that’ll stand for at least 1 more year.
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Belgian aerospace company SABCA has secured an €85 million contract from ArianeGroup to supply Thrust Vector Control (TVC) systems for the Ariane 6 rocket program. This agreement encompasses the production of nozzle activation systems for the main and upper stages of Ariane 6 flight models 16 through 42 Official Website
To date, Isar Aerospace, Rocket Factory Augsburg, Latitude, and PLD Space have all signed an initial feasibility agreement
I haven’t followed Latitude, but they’ve said they want to launch from this facility in 2026. PLD said the same thing, but they’re already working down there and the article said it’ll still be tight. So Latitude probably won’t launch until 2027?
Isar has Andoya and RFA has Saxavord, so they probably aren’t as worried about it.
I think it’s still technically a small-lift launcher, but 1000kg is a good step up from the really small ones around 100-250 kg, and would potentially let it steal some Vega launches.
“EU to Commission Mobile Responsive Launch System Studies” is not quite as exciting as “EU to Commission Mobile Responsive Launch System” would have been, but who knows? Perhaps one day one of these studies will lead somewhere… :)
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